|Is it me or do I detect a note of disappointment?|
As spring bulbs burst into life in gardens around the UK, and plants break into a late second bloom, this autumn has seen balmy temperatures prevail across the UK and many parts of Europe.Again, that slight sense that the Graun feel let down by this failure of Gaia to punish us more severely for our sins against her.
Despite these unusual scenes, however, this year overall is not likely to be a global record-breaker.
Figures from the Met Office published on Tuesday show that 2011 stands at 11th place in the list of warmest years ever, in global mean temperature records stretching back to 1850.Ah, now did I imagine it or was 1998 declared the absolute hottest year it's ever been in the history of everything ever (since 1850, near the end of a period of unusual cold)? Why, thanks to a handy table on the Graun's article I can see that it was no figment of imagination and that the Met Office did say exactly that, and presumably stand by it if it's still going into articles now.
Today's data confirms the overall warming trend, however: of the 10 warmest years on records, nine occurred since 2000.But looking at that table I can see that it can be put another way: that 13 years after the hottest year ever (since 1850) it's now the 11th hottest year ever (since 1850). There may be a warming trend, though of course arguments still rage over the reliability of measurements, especially when 2010 is listed as almost as big a scorcher as 1998 despite a bitter northern hemisphere winter which the warmists either forgot to mention or didn't see coming (not for the first time), but there's no getting away from the fact that the warmists themselves say that the hottest year was just over a decade and this year is ranked only 11. More interestingly every year of the last decade apart from 2008 was warmer than this year.
Naughty Gaia. People won't be nearly frightened enough by this. My God, er, Gaia, they might even start to think temperatures have peaked. This just won't do. I don't know, you just can't get the Earth Mother figures these days. Look, just move over and leave it to someone who gets paid for this.
Phil Jones, director of the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, said that[...]No, Phil, don't tell them that. You're not supposed to let people know of uncertainties. Oh, look, now you'll have to reassure everyone that all the research into warble gloaming is open and honest and transparent and that there's nothing going on.
Basic problem is that all models are wrong, not got enough middle and low level clouds.
I wasted a part of a day deleting numerous emails and exchanges with almost all the skeptics. So I have virtually nothing. I even deleted the email that I inadvertently sent.Oh dear, this isn't good at all. Even if Gaia carries on as she/it has for the last 4.5 billion years the Graun will be very sad if the whole warble gloaming narrative goes into a decline. Never mind - you can always ask Phil to hide it.
I've been told that IPCC is above national FOI Acts. One way to cover yourself and all those working in AR5 would be to delete all emails at the end of the process.